Scottish Premiership

Snapshot freshPredicted, not team news

AberdeenHomevFalkirkAway

28 Oct 2026 · 19:45 · Aberdeen home to Falkirk

Opponent snapshot 26 Oct 2026 · 19.1h oldAberdeen XI: available · Opponent XI: available

Next six

This fixture and the next five competitive matches. Kickoff is Europe/London; provisional times are marked by the source.

Current fixture plus the next five competitive matches.
Date	Competition	Opponent	Venue	Kickoff
28 Oct 2026	Scottish Premiership	Falkirk	H	19:45
31 Oct 2026	Premier Sports Cup	Rangers	Neutral	17:30
7 Nov 2026	Scottish Premiership	Hibernian	H	17:45
21 Nov 2026	Scottish Premiership	Kilmarnock	A	15:00
28 Nov 2026	Scottish Premiership	Dundee	H	15:00
2 Dec 2026	Scottish Premiership	Heart of Midlothian	A	19:45

The read

Falkirk are measured as a deep, low-volume side away; Aberdeen's task is breaking a compact block without leaving the counter open.

InferredFalkirk profile as sit deep and counter away: 11.8 shots per match (20th percentile).
InferredVenue effect: their approach index is 21.2 (overall 28.7); Aberdeen's is 33.8.
MeasuredStrength: Falkirk are 7th on 1.2 PPG; Aberdeen are 9th on 1.1 PPG. The table gap is similar.
InferredLineup: 4-2-3-1 (high formation confidence); 8/11 high-confidence picks.
UnknownUnknowns: no injury, suspension or team-news feed. The opponent XI is a projection from recent lineups, not confirmed team news.

Keys to the match

Territory

Measured

Falkirk average 10.0 shots per match away; Aberdeen concede 13.4 shots per match in the same venue split.

Aberdeen's route

Measured

Aberdeen average 14.2 shots per match in this venue split; Falkirk concede 16.4.

Set pieces

Measured

Corners per match: Falkirk 4.2, Aberdeen 6.2. Only corner volume is measured; delivery and second balls are not in the feed.

Table and form

Measured

Similar on PPG; edge: even. Form is the last five league results, not a prediction.

The read describes measured form and shot profiles. It is not a result prediction and not betting advice.

Projected line-ups

Predicted XIs

Not official team news

Predicted XI · not team news

Aberdeen

4-4-2low

Selection confidence Medium confidence · 6/10 matches with lineups (60%) · 11/11 slots filled · team news 2 known, 32 unknown

Confidence measures the selection evidence only: starts, minutes, role fit, form and the observed formation. Unknown team news is shown as a separate availability state and does not lower this estimate.

Selection inputs form 20% · minute share 10% · recent rating 15% · role fit 15% · start rate 22% · recency 18% · rating coverage: 14 available, 7 partial, 9 unavailable

Availability Partial 2 known · 32 unknown · as of 2026-10-27T12:02:11+00:00

Aberdeen · 4-4-2 · 11 predicted starters

1:1GKM. Müller6 starts · 540 mins · form 71 · rating 6.98high
2:1LBN. Guinness-Walker6 starts · 518 mins · form 75 · rating 7.02high
2:2CBM. Knoester5 starts · 439 mins · form 49 · rating 7.26medium
2:3CBG. Molloy4 starts · 386 mins · form 56 · rating 7high
2:4RBC. Cadden6 starts · 566 mins · form 70 · rating 6.66high
3:1LMC. Ronan6 starts · 408 mins · form 69 · rating 7.09low
3:2CMA. Aremu5 starts · 354 mins · form 47 · rating 6.86medium
3:3CMB. Lyons3 starts · 226 mins · form 49 · rating 7.12medium
3:4RML. Smith1 starts · 131 mins · form 22 · rating 6.64low
4:1STK. Nisbet6 starts · 560 mins · form 90 · rating 7.16high
4:2STA. Mouloua2 starts · 153 mins · form 36 · rating 7.09low

Contenders

6 next in line

CBJ. Milne3 starts · 304 mins · form 46 · rating 6.52Unknownmedium
STT. Olusanya3 starts · 286 mins · form 34 · rating 6.18Unknownmedium
CMS. Armstrong2 starts · 291 mins · form 38 · rating 6.88Unknownlow
CBL. Mayo3 starts · 226 mins · form 23 · rating 6.81Unknownmedium
CMF. Marshall3 starts · 211 mins · form 23 · rating 6.52Unknownmedium
STM. Ntelo1 starts · 46 mins · form 2 · rating —Unknownlow

Not considered (1)

Kristers Tobers availability out

Predicted, not official team news. Based on recent starts, minutes, formation and position fit.

Formation 4-4-2 in 1 of the last 6 lineups. 11/11 slots filled. Lineup coverage 60%.

Current squad →

Predicted XI · not team news

Falkirk

4-2-3-1high

Selection confidence Medium confidence · 6/10 matches with lineups (60%) · 11/11 slots filled

Confidence measures the selection evidence only: starts, minutes, role fit, form and the observed formation. Opponent availability is not modelled.

Selection inputs form 20% · minute share 10% · recent rating 15% · role fit 15% · start rate 22% · recency 18% · rating coverage: 16 available, 6 partial, 0 unavailable

Availability Not modelled Not modelled for opponents

Falkirk · 4-2-3-1 · 11 predicted starters

1:1GKS. Bain6 starts · 540 mins · form 70 · rating 6.85high
2:1LBL. McCann5 starts · 494 mins · form 62 · rating 6.58high
2:2CBL. Henderson6 starts · 507 mins · form 69 · rating 6.76medium
2:3CBL. Neilson5 starts · 450 mins · form 60 · rating 6.97high
2:4RBR. Strain6 starts · 540 mins · form 80 · rating 7.13high
3:1CMB. Spencer6 starts · 540 mins · form 70 · rating 7.09medium
3:2CMF. Barbrook6 starts · 491 mins · form 64 · rating 6.68high
4:1LWO. Eames6 starts · 497 mins · form 70 · rating 7.02high
4:2AMB. Krauhaus5 starts · 346 mins · form 42 · rating 6.96medium
4:3RWE. Ross6 starts · 473 mins · form 71 · rating 7.01high
5:1STJ. Murrell6 starts · 453 mins · form 91 · rating 7.53high

Contenders

4 next in line

RWD. Melniks2 starts · 242 mins · form 36 · rating 6.62Unknownlow
CBS. Tanser1 starts · 46 mins · form 9 · rating 6.2Unknownlow
STA. Doherty0 starts · 47 mins · form 3 · rating 6.8Unknownlow
RBJ. McMillan0 starts · 6 mins · form 1 · rating 6.49Unknownlow

Not considered (0)

None recorded in this snapshot.

Predicted, not official team news. Based on recent starts, minutes, formation and position fit.

Formation 4-2-3-1 in 6 of the last 6 lineups. 11/11 slots filled. Lineup coverage 60%.

Opponent players are not linked to fitba profiles.

League form

Form guide

Last five · home and away

Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen

LWLDW

2W 1D 2L · 7 pts · 1.4 PPG

24 Oct 2026ADundee UnitedL2–3
17 Oct 2026HSt MirrenW3–1
11 Oct 2026HSt JohnstoneL0–1
19 Sept 2026AHibernianD1–1
15 Sept 2026AMotherwellW4–0

Form guide: last five and venue splits.
Split	P	W-D-L	Pts	PPG	GF	GA	Shots
Overall	10	3-2-5	11	1.1	12	13	12.9/15
Home	5	2-1-2	7	1.4	5	4	14.2/13.4
Away	5	1-1-3	4	0.8	7	9	11.6/16.6

League only. Home and away splits use every league match in the sample, not just the last five.

Scottish Premiership

Falkirk

WWLDW

3W 1D 1L · 10 pts · 2 PPG

24 Oct 2026HKilmarnockW3–0
17 Oct 2026AHibernianW2–1
10 Oct 2026HDundeeL1–2
19 Sept 2026ASt JohnstoneD1–1
15 Sept 2026HHeart of MidlothianW2–1

Form guide: last five and venue splits.
Split	P	W-D-L	Pts	PPG	GF	GA	Shots
Overall	10	3-3-4	12	1.2	12	12	11.8/15.5
Home	5	2-0-3	6	1.2	7	7	13.6/14.6
Away	5	1-3-1	6	1.2	5	5	10/16.4

League only. Home and away splits use every league match in the sample, not just the last five.

Style and likely approach

How the styles meet

Home / away splits

Measured shot profile

Aberdeen

Low confidence

Balanced

DeepBalancedAttack

12.9 shots per match (33rd percentile)
shot share 46%
1.20 goals per match (50th percentile)
at home: 14.2 shots per match in 5 matches

5 matches in this venue split · venue-weighted read

Shots for: 14.2
Shots against: 13.4
Shot share: 51%
On target: 3.8
Goals for: 1
Goals against: 0.8
Corners: 6.2

Shot profile and approach index by venue split.
Split	Shots for	Shots against	Shot share
Overall	12.9	15	46%
Home	14.2	13.4	51%

Opponent-unadjusted shot proxies from league match rows. Not xG and not a tactical model. Possession is unknown and is not used.

Possession: unknown (not dependable in provider statistics).

Measured shot profile

Falkirk

Low confidence

Sit deep and counter

DeepBalancedAttack

11.8 shots per match (20th percentile)
shot share 43%
1.20 goals per match (50th percentile)
away: 10.0 shots per match in 5 matches

5 matches in this venue split · venue-weighted read

Shots for: 10
Shots against: 16.4
Shot share: 38%
On target: 3
Goals for: 1
Goals against: 1
Corners: 4.2

Shot profile and approach index by venue split.
Split	Shots for	Shots against	Shot share
Overall	11.8	15.5	43%
Away	10	16.4	38%

Opponent-unadjusted shot proxies from league match rows. Not xG and not a tactical model. Possession is unknown and is not used.

Possession: unknown (not dependable in provider statistics).

The lean is inferred from measured shot volume, shot share, shots on target and goals. It is not xG and not a tactical model. Possession is not used.

Relative strength · same league

League comparison

10 matches each · 12 teams

AberdeenMetricFalkirk

1.19th of 12

Points per game

7th of 121.2

1.26th of 12

Goals for / game

6th of 121.2

1.35th of 12

Goals against / game lower is better

3rd of 121.2

-0.17th of 12

Goal difference / game

5th of 120

12.98th of 12

Shots for / game

10th of 1211.8

46%7th of 12

Shot share

9th of 1243%

Aberdeen9th11 pts · 12–13

Falkirk7th12 pts · 12–12

Table gapsimilar-0.1 PPG

Read confidencehighsame league

Bars are within-league percentile rank. Labels are league rank out of 12 teams; a lower position is better, and “lower is better” marks goals against.

Same league: percentiles use the current league table sample.

Season overview · the current evidence

What backs this matchday

Season overview →

On the pitch

The team now

Supported

This is a rebuilt side with an unsettled shape, and the league record is mid-table.

The count10 league matches; 16 competitive fixtures with a recorded shape

The record and the shape churn are counted. What they mean is a separate question.

Matchday →Competitions →Fixtures →Full evidence →

On the pitch

The defence

Mixed

Three at the back is protecting a new defence at the cost of width.

The count4 three-centre-back fixtures vs 10 two-centre-back; 2 known / 32 unknown availability

The selection cost is supported: the wide forwards do not start in the three-centre-back set. Whether the shape itself helps or hurts is not established: four matches, the manager chooses the shape, and the opponents and competitions differ. Availability cannot be tested.

Squad →Matchday →Transfers →Full evidence →

A selection of the claims about the team. Every claim, with its count, status, evidence and what would change the view, is on Claims and evidence.

Context, not a prediction

Recent meetings

League meetings

Recent league meetings, the score and Aberdeen's result.
Date	Match	Score	Aberdeen
14 Mar 2026	Aberdeen v Falkirk	1–1	D
3 Jan 2026	Falkirk v Aberdeen	1–0	L
31 Aug 2025	Aberdeen v Falkirk	0–1	L

How to read this page

Coverage and limits

fresh

Form is league-only and uses the last five results; home and away splits use every league match.
Style is measured from shots, shots on target, goals and corners. Possession is unknown and is not used. It is not xG and not a tactical model.
Predicted XIs come from recent starts, minutes, formation and position fit. They are not team news.
Strength percentiles are within the same league. Cross-tier comparisons show raw values only.

Form and style are league-only and opponent-unadjusted. Predicted XIs are projections from observed lineups, not team news. Possession is not used.

Snapshot: 2026-10-26T17:01:41+00:00 · 6 opponent fixtures · 6 with lineups. Method → Sources →

Results and fixtures · All fixtures · Competitions · Squad · The Cormack era · Transfers

Matchday projections are measured where marked and inferred where a model or comparison is used. The page is not a result prediction and not betting advice.

Provenance

How this page is sourced

Data as of 27 Oct 2026

Dataset 2026-10-27T12:06:31+00:00-c598315. Sources and coverage are listed below; the page keeps its own source and uncertainty labels.

Aberdeen club fixture list · spfl; fallback api_football · active
Lineups, formations and starting roles · api_football · active
Player match ratings and stats · api_football · partial
Injuries and availability · afc_news; fallback api_football · partial
League results, current season · football_data_uk; fallback api_football · active
League tables · computed · active
Medium and long-term themes · derived · active
Squad needs · derived · active

Definitions: case.claim.attack · case.claim.chairman-record · case.claim.defence · case.claim.managers · case.claim.squad · case.claim.team-now · matchday.coverage · matchday.form · matchday.head-to-head · matchday.lineup · matchday.next-fixtures · matchday.strength · matchday.style

Corrections and changes are recorded on Corrections and contact.

Cite this page

Matchday. Dataset 2026-10-27T12:06:31+00:00-c598315, as of 2026-10-27T12:06:31+00:00. Sources: SPFL official club feed; API-Football; Aberdeen FC news; football-data.co.uk; computed; derived. Definitions: case.claim.attack; case.claim.chairman-record; case.claim.defence; case.claim.managers; case.claim.squad; case.claim.team-now; matchday.coverage; matchday.form; matchday.head-to-head; matchday.lineup; matchday.next-fixtures; matchday.strength; matchday.style.